Yeah, it was the It’s Showtime Funny Beetlejuice Halloween magical! We would work up a sweat trying to go to as many houses as we could then gorge the sweet plunder later that night under blankets with only a flashlight to find your favorite candy first. We may have been poor, but those nights we were rich in sweets. Yes, but also no. When you’re phrasing something like the OP(“despite what you might think, it’s actually quite rare!”) you’re not talking about the observed rarity. You’re talking about the difference between expected rarity and observed rarity. The expected rarity, in this case, is roughly every 28 years, since I’d say that’s what the average person would guess.
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It turns out the It’s Showtime Funny Beetlejuice Halloween it’s actually every 19 years, because of the Metonic cycle that I’m TILing right now. So really, this should be a case of “despite what you might think, it’s actually not so rare!”The day before or after a full moon probably looks indistinguishable from an actual full moon for most people. Which would drop that down to 1 in 9Wouldnot the maximum view of the moon by 50% since the other half is on the other side? For the next full moon, the day before the moon is 98.5% visible, and the day after its 99%. So I’d say you’re right.
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